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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
County 02500, AK · Census Tract 02500001329 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$1.49M
Downside (P10)
$558K
-62% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.13M
-24% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.80M
+21% by 2030
Base case: -24% by 2030, with a forecast range from -62% to +21%. The model forecasts this with 40% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.5M | $1.5M | $1.3M | $1.2M | $1.1M |
| YoY Change | +1.4% | -14.7% | -9.4% | -3.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $843K | $703K | $628K | $558K | |
| Upside (P90) | $2.0M | $1.9M | $1.8M | $1.8M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. This typically reflects limited transaction history, high price variance, or rapid neighborhood change.
1-Year Spread
$843K to $1.99M
76.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$558K to $1.80M
109.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001329 | $1.49M | $1.13M | -24.1% | |
| Tract 000964 | $1.54M | $1.22M | -20.9% | |
| Tract 000621 | $1.43M | $1.07M | -25.4% | |
| Tract 001109 | $1.52M | $1.05M | -30.7% | |
| Tract 001361 | $1.44M | $984K | -31.8% | |
| Tract 001183 | $1.52M | $1.02M | -32.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001329 | $1.49M | $1.13M | -24.1% | |
| Tract 001743 | $1.58M | $1.28M | -19.1% | |
| Tract 000964 | $1.54M | $1.22M | -20.9% | |
| Tract 000249 | $1.24M | $971K | -21.6% | |
| Tract 000045 | $1.19M | $921K | -22.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001329 | $1.49M | $1.13M | $1.24M | |
| Tract 000045 | $1.19M | $921K | $1.04M | |
| Tract 000249 | $1.24M | $971K | $1.01M | |
| Tract 001167 | $1.58M | $1.13M | $961K | |
| Tract 001303 | $1.59M | $1.08M | $874K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources