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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
County 02600, AK · Census Tract 02600001067 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$2.29M
Downside (P10)
$912K
-60% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.56M
-32% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.08M
-9% by 2030
Base case: -32% by 2030, with a forecast range from -60% to -9%. The model forecasts this with 59% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $2.3M | $2.2M | $1.9M | $1.6M | $1.6M |
| YoY Change | -4.4% | -15.2% | -14.0% | -2.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.5M | $1.2M | $985K | $912K | |
| Upside (P90) | $2.6M | $2.2M | $2.1M | $2.1M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. This typically reflects limited transaction history, high price variance, or rapid neighborhood change.
1-Year Spread
$1.46M to $2.63M
53.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$912K to $2.08M
75.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001067 | $2.29M | $1.56M | -31.8% | |
| Tract 001423 | $2.33M | $1.72M | -26.0% | |
| Tract 000068 | $2.28M | $1.61M | -29.4% | |
| Tract 000628 | $2.27M | $1.60M | -29.8% | |
| Tract 000929 | $2.33M | $1.62M | -30.3% | |
| Tract 000563 | $2.25M | $1.50M | -33.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001067 | $2.29M | $1.56M | -31.8% | |
| Tract 000000 | $106K | $172K | +61.5% | |
| Tract 001423 | $2.33M | $1.72M | -26.0% | |
| Tract 001083 | $2.41M | $1.76M | -27.1% | |
| Tract 000327 | $2.23M | $1.62M | -27.3% | |
| Tract 000107 | $1.98M | $1.44M | -27.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001067 | $2.29M | $1.56M | $1.17M | |
| Tract 000107 | $1.98M | $1.44M | $1.09M | |
| Tract 000563 | $2.25M | $1.50M | $1.05M | |
| Tract 100104 | $1.87M | $1.28M | $1.03M | |
| Tract 000408 | $2.43M | $1.73M | $905K | |
| Tract 000000 | $106K | $172K | $208K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources