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Aleutians East, AK · ZIP 99661 · Census Tract 02013000100 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$139K
Downside (P10)
$122K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$151K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$187K
+34% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +34%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $126K | $125K | $125K | $123K | $120K | $137K | $144K | $164K | $144K | $136K | $139K | $140K | $144K | $151K | $140K |
| YoY Change | -1.3% | +0.2% | -1.4% | -2.5% | +14.0% | +5.4% | +13.9% | -12.1% | -6.1% | +2.9% | +0.2% | +3.0% | +4.8% | -6.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $121K | $120K | $122K | $126K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $166K | $180K | $187K | $158K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$121K to $166K
32.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$126K to $158K
22.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aleutians East | $137K | $151K | +10.4% | |
| North Slope | $127K | $141K | +11.1% | |
| Northwest Arctic | $119K | $127K | +7.1% | |
| Anchorage | $144K | $154K | +6.5% | |
| Metlakatla Indian Community | $169K | $179K | +5.9% | |
| Aleutians West area | $116K | $116K | +0.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aleutians East | $137K | $151K | +10.4% | |
| Anchorage (Tract 002714) | $442K | $536K | +21.2% | |
| Anchorage (Tract 002713) | $446K | $518K | +16.2% | |
| Fairbanks North Star | $277K | $321K | +16.1% | |
| Lower Kuskokwim | $90K | $105K | +15.9% | |
| Anchorage (Tract 002304) | $383K | $444K | +15.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aleutians East | $137K | $151K | $65K | |
| Koyukuk-Middle Yukon | $105K | $113K | $50K | |
| Anchorage | $105K | $115K | $47K | |
| Dillingham | $85K | $88K | $45K | |
| Kusilvak | $86K | $95K | $44K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.