What is the home price forecast for Parcel 02090001502 in Badger · North Pole · (Tract 15.2)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $355,064 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 9.5%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 02090001502 in Badger · North Pole · (Tract 15.2)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $355,064 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 9.5%.

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Parcel 02090001502 (Badger) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 02090001502, Badger · North Pole · (Tract 15.2) Home Price Forecast

Fairbanks North Star, AK · ZIP 99705 · Census Tract 02090001502 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$355K

Downside (P10)

$301K

-15% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$389K

+9% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$495K

+39% by 2030

Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$232K	$252K	$297K	$279K	$355K	$355K	$363K	$372K	$389K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$123,264	-$103,364	-$57,864	-$75,764	-$464		+$8,263	+$17,357	+$33,669
Growth % vs 2026	-34.7%	-29.1%	-16.3%	-21.3%	-0.1%		+2.3%	+4.9%	+9.5%
Downside (P10)							$296K	$307K	$301K
Upside (P90)							$419K	$448K	$495K

Forecast Confidence

73%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$296K to $419K

34.1% of median

Long-horizon band

$301K to $495K

50.0% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +9.5% · Spread: 50%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 02090001502, Badger · North Pole · (Tract 15.2) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).