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Baldwin, AL · ZIP 36526 · Census Tract 01003010704 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$258K
Downside (P10)
$216K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$262K
+2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$356K
+38% by 2030
Base case: +2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $156K | $159K | $161K | $162K | $167K | $174K | $174K | $207K | $228K | $250K | $258K | $260K | $265K | $262K |
| YoY Change | +1.6% | +1.3% | +1.1% | +2.6% | +4.6% | -0.1% | +19.0% | +9.9% | +9.7% | +3.2% | +1.0% | +1.7% | -1.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $222K | $212K | $216K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $331K | $357K | $356K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$222K to $331K
42.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$216K to $356K
53.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daphne · 36526 · (Tract 107.4) | $256K | $262K | +2.3% | |
| Elberta | $262K | $299K | +14.0% | |
| Foley | $260K | $285K | +9.7% | |
| Robertsdale (Tract 010908) | $252K | $276K | +9.5% | |
| Robertsdale (Tract 010903) | $255K | $274K | +7.6% | |
| Robertsdale (Tract 010907) | $262K | $270K | +3.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daphne · 36526 · (Tract 107.4) | $256K | $262K | +2.3% | |
| Foley (Tract 011415) | $879K | $1.05M | +19.5% | |
| Fairhope (Tract 011104) | $370K | $438K | +18.6% | |
| Foley (Tract 011504) | $327K | $387K | +18.3% | |
| Foley (Tract 011410) | $334K | $392K | +17.3% | |
| Fairhope (Tract 011202) | $504K | $577K | +14.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daphne · 36526 · (Tract 107.4) | $256K | $262K | $139K | |
| Bay Minette (Tract 010200) | $213K | $220K | $113K | |
| Robertsdale | $255K | $274K | $112K | |
| Bay Minette (Tract 010400) | $211K | $226K | $109K | |
| Stockton | $156K | $164K | $90K | |
| Bay Minette (Tract 010600) | $101K | $109K | $65K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.