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Baldwin, AL · ZIP 36527 · Census Tract 01003010706 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$434K
Downside (P10)
$369K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$464K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$645K
+49% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +49%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $305K | $317K | $327K | $376K | $423K | $434K | $441K | $448K | $464K |
| YoY Change | +3.9% | +3.2% | +15.0% | +12.3% | +2.7% | +1.6% | +1.5% | +3.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $367K | $366K | $369K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $537K | $569K | $645K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$367K to $537K
38.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$369K to $645K
59.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daphne · Spanish Fort · (Tract 107.6) | $426K | $464K | +8.9% | |
| Foley (Tract 011417) | $447K | $510K | +14.1% | |
| Foley (Tract 011412) | $463K | $525K | +13.5% | |
| Daphne | $419K | $461K | +10.1% | |
| Fairhope | $415K | $450K | +8.4% | |
| Foley (Tract 011413) | $458K | $476K | +3.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daphne · Spanish Fort · (Tract 107.6) | $426K | $464K | +8.9% | |
| Foley (Tract 011415) | $879K | $1.05M | +19.5% | |
| Fairhope (Tract 011104) | $370K | $438K | +18.6% | |
| Foley (Tract 011504) | $327K | $387K | +18.3% | |
| Foley (Tract 011410) | $334K | $392K | +17.3% | |
| Fairhope (Tract 011202) | $504K | $577K | +14.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daphne · Spanish Fort · (Tract 107.6) | $426K | $464K | $276K | |
| Bay Minette (Tract 010200) | $213K | $220K | $113K | |
| Robertsdale | $255K | $274K | $112K | |
| Bay Minette (Tract 010400) | $211K | $226K | $109K | |
| Stockton | $156K | $164K | $90K | |
| Bay Minette (Tract 010600) | $101K | $109K | $65K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.