What is the home price forecast for Parcel 01019956102 in Spring Garden · Centre · (Tract 9561.2)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $165,570 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 8.5%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 01019956102 in Spring Garden · Centre · (Tract 9561.2)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $165,570 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 8.5%.

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Parcel 01019956102 (Spring Garden) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 01019956102, Spring Garden · Centre · (Tract 9561.2) Home Price Forecast

Cherokee, AL · ZIP 35960 · Census Tract 01019956102 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$166K

Downside (P10)

$144K

-13% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$180K

+9% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$233K

+41% by 2030

Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$122K	$123K	$118K	$117K	$159K	$166K	$172K	$178K	$180K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$43,270	-$42,370	-$47,370	-$48,270	-$6,570		+$6,325	+$12,690	+$14,120
Growth % vs 2026	-26.1%	-25.6%	-28.6%	-29.2%	-4.0%		+3.8%	+7.7%	+8.5%
Downside (P10)							$145K	$147K	$144K
Upside (P90)							$200K	$219K	$233K

Forecast Confidence

73%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$145K to $200K

31.8% of median

Long-horizon band

$144K to $233K

49.5% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +8.5% · Spread: 49%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 01019956102, Spring Garden · Centre · (Tract 9561.2) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).