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Madison, AL · ZIP 35801 · Census Tract 01089000902 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$267K
Downside (P10)
$243K
-9% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$302K
+13% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$376K
+41% by 2030
Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -9% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $123K | $126K | $128K | $131K | $139K | $150K | $163K | $199K | $229K | $260K | $267K | $276K | $287K | $302K | $273K |
| YoY Change | +2.4% | +1.2% | +2.9% | +6.0% | +7.7% | +8.6% | +22.4% | +15.1% | +13.5% | +2.8% | +3.4% | +3.8% | +5.1% | -9.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $242K | $243K | $243K | $240K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $315K | $340K | $376K | $307K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$242K to $315K
26.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$240K to $307K
24.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huntsville | $261K | $302K | +15.5% | |
| Moores Mill | $278K | $321K | +15.6% | |
| Huntsville (Tract 010503) | $264K | $292K | +10.8% | |
| Huntsville (Tract 002911) | $260K | $275K | +6.0% | |
| Huntsville (Tract 010502) | $266K | $277K | +4.1% | |
| Huntsville (Tract 002924) | $275K | $282K | +2.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huntsville | $261K | $302K | +15.5% | |
| Huntsville area | $242K | $282K | +16.3% | |
| Huntsville (Tract 010801) | $366K | $425K | +16.1% | |
| Moores Mill | $278K | $321K | +15.6% | |
| Huntsville (Tract 001500) | $185K | $212K | +14.6% | |
| Huntsville (Tract 001902) | $720K | $824K | +14.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huntsville | $261K | $302K | $133K | |
| Huntsville (Tract 000203) | $114K | $127K | $56K | |
| Huntsville (Tract 000302) | $98K | $98K | $55K | |
| Huntsville (Tract 001200) | $87K | $95K | $54K | |
| Huntsville (Tract 002502) | $92K | $103K | $53K | |
| Huntsville (Tract 002501) | $87K | $97K | $50K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.