County 01533, AL · Census Tract 01533221342 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.34M
Downside (P10)
$488K
-64% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$969K
-28% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.63M
+22% by 2030
Base case: -28% by 2030, with a forecast range from -64% to +22%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 01533 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.3M | $1.3M | $1.1M | $1.0M | $969K |
| YoY Change | -0.5% | -14.7% | -11.2% | -3.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $897K | $679K | $510K | $488K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.9M | $1.7M | $1.6M | $1.6M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$1.00M to $1.70M
51.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$488K to $1.63M
117.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 221326 | $1.30M | $1.13M | -12.9% |
| Tract 221122 | $1.67M | $1.18M | -29.4% |
| Tract 220903 | $1.68M | $1.17M | -30.2% |
| Tract 221245 | $1.69M | $1.22M | -27.7% |
| Tract 220864 | $1.70M | $1.17M | -31.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 221326 | $1.30M | $1.13M | -12.9% |
| Tract 220246 | $1.86M | $1.39M | -25.0% |
| Tract 220408 | $1.81M | $1.35M | -25.3% |
| Tract 220149 | $1.86M | $1.38M | -25.9% |
| Tract 220987 | $1.77M | $1.30M | -26.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 221122 | $1.67M | $1.18M | $900K |
| Tract 220149 | $1.86M | $1.38M | $960K |
| Tract 220084 | $1.77M | $1.31M | $971K |
| Tract 220864 | $1.70M | $1.17M | $981K |
| Tract 220385 | $1.78M | $1.22M | $984K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources