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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Jefferson, AL · ZIP 35223 · Census Tract 01073010804 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$771K
Downside (P10)
$618K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$801K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.13M
+47% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $485K | $538K | $570K | $572K | $584K | $610K | $634K | $686K | $729K | $737K | $771K | $809K | $818K | $801K | $774K |
| YoY Change | +10.9% | +6.0% | +0.4% | +2.0% | +4.5% | +4.0% | +8.2% | +6.3% | +1.1% | +4.7% | +4.9% | +1.0% | -2.1% | -3.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $674K | $638K | $618K | $695K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $992K | $1.0M | $1.1M | $871K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$674K to $992K
39.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$695K to $871K
22.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mountain Brook | $758K | $801K | +5.5% | |
| Homewood | $796K | $884K | +11.0% | |
| Brook Highland | $792K | $862K | +8.8% | |
| Southside | $892K | $961K | +7.8% | |
| Vestavia Hills | $755K | $790K | +4.7% | |
| Greystone | $681K | $688K | +1.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mountain Brook | $758K | $801K | +5.5% | |
| Roebuck (Tract 011806) | $133K | $160K | +20.4% | |
| Leeds | $125K | $150K | +20.0% | |
| Birmingham | $191K | $227K | +19.1% | |
| Roebuck (Tract 011210) | $181K | $214K | +18.3% | |
| Avondale | $358K | $419K | +17.2% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.