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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Jefferson, AL · ZIP 35212 · Census Tract 01073002305 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$364K
Downside (P10)
$316K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$373K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$503K
+38% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $180K | $184K | $191K | $198K | $207K | $225K | $236K | $282K | $316K | $359K | $364K | $368K | $378K | $373K |
| YoY Change | +2.2% | +4.1% | +3.6% | +4.7% | +8.6% | +4.8% | +19.4% | +12.0% | +13.7% | +1.4% | +1.2% | +2.8% | -1.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $314K | $319K | $316K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $446K | $450K | $503K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$314K to $446K
35.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$316K to $503K
50.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Woodlawn · 35212 · (Tract 23.5) | $366K | $373K | +1.9% | |
| Avondale | $358K | $419K | +17.2% | |
| Trussville | $370K | $402K | +8.8% | |
| Bluff Park (Tract 014405) | $358K | $387K | +8.3% | |
| Bluff Park (Tract 014409) | $359K | $386K | +7.6% | |
| Bluff Park (Tract 014412) | $361K | $369K | +2.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Woodlawn · 35212 · (Tract 23.5) | $366K | $373K | +1.9% | |
| Roebuck (Tract 011806) | $133K | $160K | +20.4% | |
| Leeds | $125K | $150K | +20.0% | |
| Birmingham | $191K | $227K | +19.1% | |
| Roebuck (Tract 011210) | $181K | $214K | +18.3% | |
| Avondale | $358K | $419K | +17.2% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.