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Lauderdale, AL · ZIP 35652 · Census Tract 01077011802 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$285K
Downside (P10)
$253K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$303K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$378K
+33% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +33%. The model forecasts this with 77% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $119K | $134K | $137K | $148K | $155K | $214K | $225K | $250K | $266K | $272K | $285K | $291K | $299K | $303K |
| YoY Change | +12.5% | +2.0% | +8.4% | +5.0% | +37.9% | +4.9% | +11.4% | +6.3% | +2.3% | +4.5% | +2.4% | +2.5% | +1.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $258K | $264K | $253K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $333K | $367K | $378K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$258K to $333K
25.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$253K to $378K
41.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rogersville · 35652 · (Tract 118.2) | $276K | $303K | +9.6% | |
| Killen (Tract 011605) | $289K | $323K | +11.7% | |
| Florence (Tract 011503) | $334K | $368K | +10.2% | |
| Florence (Tract 011504) | $296K | $314K | +5.8% | |
| Killen (Tract 011606) | $258K | $264K | +2.4% | |
| Florence (Tract 011502) | $288K | $292K | +1.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rogersville · 35652 · (Tract 118.2) | $276K | $303K | +9.6% | |
| Florence (Tract 010100) | $50K | $58K | +15.9% | |
| Florence (Tract 010400) | $187K | $211K | +13.0% | |
| Killen | $179K | $201K | +12.7% | |
| Cloverdale | $185K | $208K | +12.6% | |
| Oakland | $153K | $172K | +12.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rogersville · 35652 · (Tract 118.2) | $276K | $303K | $125K | |
| Florence (Tract 011000) | $125K | $136K | $69K | |
| Florence (Tract 010800) | $112K | $120K | $64K | |
| Florence (Tract 010700) | $89K | $94K | $58K | |
| Florence (Tract 010300) | $69K | $73K | $45K | |
| Florence (Tract 010100) | $50K | $58K | $35K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.