What is the home price forecast for Parcel 01077011504 in Florence?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $294,854 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 6.3%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 01077011504 in Florence?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $294,854 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 6.3%.

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Parcel 01077011504 (Florence) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 01077011504, Florence Home Price Forecast

Lauderdale, AL · ZIP 35630 · Census Tract 01077011504 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$295K

Downside (P10)

$253K

-14% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$314K

+6% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$444K

+51% by 2030

Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +51%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029	2030
Median Value	$195K	$209K	$232K	$258K	$296K	$295K	$300K	$307K	$314K	$309K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$100,154	-$85,454	-$63,254	-$37,054	+$1,146		+$5,048	+$12,125	+$18,699	+$13,865
Growth % vs 2026	-34.0%	-29.0%	-21.5%	-12.6%	+0.4%		+1.7%	+4.1%	+6.3%	+4.7%
Downside (P10)							$268K	$257K	$253K	$273K
Upside (P90)							$356K	$397K	$444K	$346K

Forecast Confidence

87%

High Confidence

The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.

Near-term band

$268K to $356K

29.5% of median

Long-horizon band

$273K to $346K

23.9% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +4.7% · Spread: 24%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 01077011504, Florence on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).