What is the home price forecast for Parcel 01089010904 in Gurley?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $439,940 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.7%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 01089010904 in Gurley?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $439,940 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.7%.

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Parcel 01089010904 (Gurley) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 01089010904, Gurley Home Price Forecast

Madison, AL · ZIP 35763 · Census Tract 01089010904 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$440K

Downside (P10)

$387K

-12% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$456K

+4% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$673K

+53% by 2030

Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +53%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$305K	$328K	$349K	$381K	$425K	$440K	$440K	$456K	$456K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$135,040	-$112,240	-$91,240	-$59,240	-$14,740		-$107	+$15,968	+$16,346
Growth % vs 2026	-30.7%	-25.5%	-20.7%	-13.5%	-3.4%		-0.0%	+3.6%	+3.7%
Downside (P10)							$349K	$355K	$387K
Upside (P90)							$581K	$627K	$673K

Forecast Confidence

66%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$349K to $581K

52.8% of median

Long-horizon band

$387K to $673K

62.7% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +3.7% · Spread: 63%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.

Location

Parcel 01089010904, Gurley on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).