What is the home price forecast for Parcel 01093964001 in Bear Creek · Haleyville · (Tract 9640.1)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $61,784 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 5.7%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 01093964001 in Bear Creek · Haleyville · (Tract 9640.1)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $61,784 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 5.7%.

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Parcel 01093964001 (Bear Creek) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 01093964001, Bear Creek · Haleyville · (Tract 9640.1) Home Price Forecast

Marion, AL · ZIP 35565 · Census Tract 01093964001 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$62K

Downside (P10)

$51K

-17% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$65K

+6% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$95K

+53% by 2030

Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +53%. The model forecasts this with 63% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$47K	$63K	$66K	$73K	$60K	$62K	$62K	$65K	$65K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$15,284	+$1,216	+$4,216	+$10,716	-$2,084		+$517	+$2,755	+$3,509
Growth % vs 2026	-24.7%	+2.0%	+6.8%	+17.3%	-3.4%		+0.8%	+4.5%	+5.7%
Downside (P10)							$51K	$51K	$51K
Upside (P90)							$81K	$94K	$95K

Forecast Confidence

63%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$51K to $81K

48.5% of median

Long-horizon band

$51K to $95K

66.7% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +5.7% · Spread: 67%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.

Location

Parcel 01093964001, Bear Creek · Haleyville · (Tract 9640.1) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).