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Mobile, AL · ZIP 36604 · Census Tract 01097000902 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$287K
Downside (P10)
$230K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$330K
+15% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$444K
+55% by 2030
Base case: +15% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +55%. The model forecasts this with 64% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $176K | $169K | $177K | $172K | $174K | $183K | $212K | $236K | $257K | $286K | $287K | $301K | $318K | $330K | $299K |
| YoY Change | -3.8% | +4.6% | -2.5% | +0.9% | +5.2% | +15.7% | +11.4% | +9.0% | +11.3% | +0.5% | +4.8% | +5.7% | +3.9% | -9.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $241K | $240K | $230K | $265K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $349K | $399K | $444K | $332K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$241K to $349K
36.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$265K to $332K
22.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mobile · 36604 · (Tract 9.2) | $288K | $330K | +14.7% | |
| Tanner Williams (Tract 006413) | $299K | $338K | +13.2% | |
| Mobile (Tract 003703) | $300K | $338K | +12.5% | |
| Mobile (Tract 002501) | $273K | $287K | +5.0% | |
| Mobile (Tract 005601) | $276K | $289K | +4.7% | |
| Tanner Williams (Tract 006412) | $280K | $276K | -1.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mobile · 36604 · (Tract 9.2) | $288K | $330K | +14.7% | |
| Mobile (Tract 003405) | $167K | $203K | +21.3% | |
| Mobile (Tract 006106) | $205K | $244K | +18.8% | |
| Mobile (Tract 003301) | $443K | $518K | +17.0% | |
| Tanner Williams | $175K | $204K | +16.7% | |
| Mobile (Tract 003706) | $245K | $284K | +16.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mobile · 36604 · (Tract 9.2) | $288K | $330K | $214K | |
| Chickasaw | $55K | $62K | $30K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.