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Montgomery, AL · ZIP 36106 · Census Tract 01101003301 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$244K
Downside (P10)
$217K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$253K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$298K
+22% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +22%. The model forecasts this with 82% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $173K | $184K | $173K | $184K | $191K | $163K | $179K | $203K | $238K | $242K | $244K | $246K | $249K | $253K |
| YoY Change | +6.6% | -6.0% | +6.5% | +3.9% | -14.5% | +9.7% | +13.3% | +17.0% | +1.9% | +0.6% | +0.8% | +1.3% | +1.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $221K | $222K | $217K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $267K | $282K | $298K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$221K to $267K
18.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$217K to $298K
32.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montgomery · 36106 · (Tract 33.1) | $243K | $253K | +4.2% | |
| Montgomery (Tract 001300) | $262K | $298K | +13.8% | |
| Montgomery (Tract 001400) | $277K | $303K | +9.7% | |
| Montgomery (Tract 005407) | $213K | $230K | +8.2% | |
| Mount Meigs | $252K | $270K | +7.2% | |
| Montgomery (Tract 002700) | $226K | $235K | +4.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montgomery · 36106 · (Tract 33.1) | $243K | $253K | +4.2% | |
| Pike Road | $467K | $575K | +23.0% | |
| Montgomery (Tract 001600) | $70K | $85K | +20.4% | |
| Montgomery (Tract 005611) | $361K | $421K | +16.9% | |
| Montgomery (Tract 000100) | $181K | $209K | +15.7% | |
| Montgomery (Tract 005402) | $115K | $131K | +14.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montgomery · 36106 · (Tract 33.1) | $243K | $253K | $81K | |
| Montgomery (Tract 002400) | $56K | $61K | $33K | |
| Montgomery (Tract 001000) | $59K | $66K | $31K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.