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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Pike, AL · ZIP 36081 · Census Tract 01109188900 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$156K
Downside (P10)
$134K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$159K
+2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$200K
+28% by 2030
Base case: +2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +28%. The model forecasts this with 77% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $139K | $137K | $140K | $157K | $115K | $116K | $124K | $153K | $160K | $152K | $156K | $157K | $163K | $159K |
| YoY Change | -1.7% | +2.2% | +12.7% | -27.1% | +1.2% | +6.8% | +23.2% | +4.3% | -4.6% | +2.6% | +0.5% | +4.2% | -2.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $140K | $138K | $134K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $187K | $201K | $200K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$140K to $187K
30.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$134K to $200K
41.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy · 36081 · (Tract 1889) | $157K | $159K | +1.0% | |
| Henderson-Spring Hill | $120K | $137K | +14.4% | |
| Troy (Tract 189102) | $192K | $214K | +11.6% | |
| Goshen-Shady Grove | $133K | $144K | +7.9% | |
| Brundidge | $105K | $112K | +6.9% | |
| Troy (Tract 189101) | $210K | $219K | +4.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy · 36081 · (Tract 1889) | $157K | $159K | +1.0% | |
| Henderson-Spring Hill | $120K | $137K | +14.4% | |
| Troy (Tract 189001) | $284K | $323K | +14.0% | |
| Troy (Tract 189002) | $268K | $303K | +12.9% | |
| Troy (Tract 189102) | $192K | $214K | +11.6% | |
| Troy (Tract 189003) | $257K | $280K | +9.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy · 36081 · (Tract 1889) | $157K | $159K | $66K | |
| Goshen-Shady Grove | $133K | $144K | $73K | |
| Brundidge | $105K | $112K | $58K | |
| Henderson-Spring Hill | $120K | $137K | $57K | |
| Banks-Josie | $100K | $107K | $54K | |
| Needmore | $69K | $69K | $30K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.