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Tuscaloosa, AL · ZIP 35111 · Census Tract 01125010603 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$299K
Downside (P10)
$240K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$316K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$411K
+37% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $223K | $226K | $265K | $273K | $292K | $299K | $301K | $315K | $316K | $306K |
| YoY Change | +1.4% | +17.5% | +3.1% | +6.9% | +2.5% | +0.4% | +4.9% | +0.3% | -3.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $243K | $245K | $240K | $268K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $355K | $383K | $411K | $346K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$243K to $355K
37.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$268K to $346K
25.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abernant | $298K | $316K | +6.0% | |
| Abernant | $279K | $324K | +16.0% | |
| Northport (Tract 010206) | $300K | $325K | +8.3% | |
| Northport (Tract 010201) | $283K | $304K | +7.4% | |
| Northport (Tract 010204) | $316K | $339K | +7.4% | |
| Tuscaloosa | $292K | $304K | +3.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abernant | $298K | $316K | +6.0% | |
| Tuscaloosa (Tract 012406) | $153K | $178K | +16.0% | |
| Abernant | $279K | $324K | +16.0% | |
| Tuscaloosa (Tract 011800) | $87K | $99K | +14.0% | |
| Samantha | $233K | $266K | +13.9% | |
| Tuscaloosa (Tract 012700) | $183K | $208K | +13.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abernant | $298K | $316K | $171K | |
| Tuscaloosa (Tract 011701) | $114K | $129K | $73K | |
| Tuscaloosa (Tract 011902) | $157K | $167K | $71K | |
| Tuscaloosa (Tract 010500) | $119K | $121K | $68K | |
| Tuscaloosa (Tract 011800) | $87K | $99K | $46K | |
| Tuscaloosa (Tract 011703) | $113K | $126K | $45K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.