Arkansas, AR · ZIP 72166 · Census Tract 05001480800 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$130K
Downside (P10)
$106K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$141K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$218K
+68% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +68%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar Arkansas markets.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $62K | $79K | $80K | $83K | $86K | $108K | $121K | $136K | $127K | $122K | $124K | $130K | $135K | $141K | $141K |
| YoY Change | +26.9% | +0.8% | +4.4% | +2.6% | +26.5% | +11.5% | +13.1% | -6.9% | -4.1% | +2.2% | +4.3% | +4.2% | +3.9% | +0.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $114K | $108K | $105K | $106K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $154K | $180K | $194K | $218K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$117K to $135K
15.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$106K to $218K
79.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Prairie area | $139K | $153K | +10.0% |
| Morris area | $150K | $165K | +10.4% |
| La Grue | $152K | $153K | +0.8% |
| La Grue area | $106K | $112K | +5.1% |
| Gum Pond | $101K | $107K | +5.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morris area | $150K | $165K | +10.4% |
| Prairie area | $139K | $153K | +10.0% |
| Gum Pond | $101K | $107K | +5.9% |
| Gum Pond | $189K | $199K | +5.3% |
| Stuttgart | $173K | $183K | +5.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| La Grue area | $106K | $112K | $49K |
| Gum Pond | $101K | $107K | $53K |
| Morris area | $150K | $165K | $60K |
| La Grue | $152K | $153K | $74K |
| Stuttgart | $173K | $183K | $95K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources