Clay, AR · ZIP 72422 · Census Tract 05021950400 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$95K
Downside (P10)
$80K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$96K
+1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$146K
+54% by 2030
Base case: +1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +54%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar Clay markets.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $50K | $56K | $59K | $63K | $77K | $78K | $77K | $86K | $87K | $90K | $91K | $95K | $95K | $95K | $96K | $95K |
| YoY Change | +13.1% | +5.5% | +6.4% | +21.8% | +1.3% | -0.9% | +11.3% | +1.1% | +4.5% | +0.9% | +3.6% | +0.5% | +0.4% | +0.2% | -0.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $87K | $84K | $82K | $80K | $83K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $110K | $117K | $129K | $146K | $107K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$86K to $101K
15.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$80K to $146K
68.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Oak Bluff area | $95K | $105K | +10.0% |
| Bennett-Lemmons area | $96K | $104K | +7.9% |
| Gleghorn-South Kilgore area | $101K | $108K | +6.6% |
| North St. Francis | $122K | $118K | -3.3% |
| South St. Francis area | $59K | $61K | +2.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Oak Bluff area | $95K | $105K | +10.0% |
| Bennett-Lemmons area | $96K | $104K | +7.9% |
| Gleghorn-South Kilgore area | $101K | $108K | +6.6% |
| South St. Francis area | $59K | $61K | +2.5% |
| North St. Francis | $122K | $118K | -3.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| South St. Francis area | $59K | $61K | $25K |
| West Oak Bluff area | $95K | $105K | $51K |
| Gleghorn-South Kilgore area | $101K | $108K | $56K |
| Bennett-Lemmons area | $96K | $104K | $58K |
| North St. Francis | $122K | $118K | $71K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources