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Craighead, AR · ZIP 72401 · Census Tract 05031000200 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$129K
Downside (P10)
$111K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$142K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$182K
+41% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $94K | $93K | $97K | $99K | $103K | $105K | $108K | $125K | $125K | $127K | $129K | $134K | $141K | $142K |
| YoY Change | -0.9% | +3.8% | +2.9% | +3.5% | +2.3% | +2.5% | +15.7% | +0.1% | +1.4% | +1.9% | +3.5% | +5.7% | +0.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $112K | $117K | $111K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $152K | $172K | $182K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$112K to $152K
30.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$111K to $182K
50.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonesboro | $129K | $142K | +10.3% | |
| Maumelle area | $150K | $174K | +16.1% | |
| Jonesboro (Tract 000404) | $147K | $158K | +7.4% | |
| Texas area | $148K | $158K | +6.8% | |
| Jonesboro (Tract 000702) | $153K | $162K | +6.3% | |
| Black Oak area | $114K | $121K | +6.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonesboro | $129K | $142K | +10.3% | |
| Maumelle area | $150K | $174K | +16.1% | |
| Big Creek area | $223K | $255K | +14.6% | |
| Jonesboro (Tract 000403) | $270K | $305K | +12.9% | |
| Jonesboro (Tract 000102) | $226K | $253K | +12.0% | |
| Brookland area | $173K | $191K | +10.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonesboro | $129K | $142K | $72K | |
| Jonesboro (Tract 000101) | $186K | $191K | $106K | |
| Jonesboro (Tract 000702) | $153K | $162K | $99K | |
| Texas area | $148K | $158K | $89K | |
| Jonesboro (Tract 000404) | $147K | $158K | $79K | |
| Black Oak area | $114K | $121K | $59K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.