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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
County 05819, AR · Census Tract 05819000821 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$448K
Downside (P10)
$488K
+9% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$616K
+38% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$849K
+89% by 2030
Base case: +38% by 2030, with a forecast range from +9% to +89%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $448K | $511K | $557K | $584K | $616K |
| YoY Change | +13.9% | +9.1% | +4.8% | +5.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $457K | $471K | $476K | $488K | |
| Upside (P90) | $589K | $675K | $763K | $849K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$457K to $589K
25.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$488K to $849K
58.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000821 | $448K | $616K | +37.5% | |
| Tract 000918 | $392K | $576K | +47.1% | |
| Tract 000203 | $403K | $584K | +44.9% | |
| Tract 000905 | $427K | $602K | +41.1% | |
| Tract 000920 | $474K | $660K | +39.3% | |
| Tract A00300 | $414K | $569K | +37.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000821 | $448K | $616K | +37.5% | |
| Tract 000301 | $186K | $295K | +58.9% | |
| Tract 000302 | $221K | $349K | +57.6% | |
| Tract 000001 | $150K | $236K | +57.4% | |
| Tract A01200 | $116K | $181K | +56.2% | |
| Tract 001022 | $123K | $190K | +54.4% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources