County 05880, AR · Census Tract 05880730126 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$4.58M
Downside (P10)
$3.05M
-33% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$3.85M
-16% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$4.99M
+9% by 2030
Base case: -16% by 2030, with a forecast range from -33% to +9%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 05880 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $4.6M | $4.8M | $4.3M | $3.9M | $3.9M |
| YoY Change | +4.6% | -9.3% | -11.3% | +0.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $4.2M | $3.8M | $3.2M | $3.0M | |
| Upside (P90) | $5.7M | $5.2M | $4.8M | $5.0M |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$4.25M to $5.29M
22.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$3.05M to $4.99M
50.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 730100 | $1.98M | $1.91M | -3.7% |
| Tract 730281 | $1.92M | $1.85M | -3.3% |
| Tract 730249 | $1.87M | $1.72M | -7.8% |
| Tract 440005 | $1.04M | $863K | -16.8% |
| Tract 200009 | $1.04M | $880K | -15.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 240001 | $637K | $742K | +16.5% |
| Tract 730281 | $1.92M | $1.85M | -3.3% |
| Tract 730100 | $1.98M | $1.91M | -3.7% |
| Tract 520006 | $910K | $846K | -7.1% |
| Tract 120008 | $842K | $778K | -7.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 520006 | $910K | $846K | $828K |
| Tract 240001 | $637K | $742K | $888K |
| Tract 440005 | $1.04M | $863K | $899K |
| Tract 200009 | $1.04M | $880K | $920K |
| Tract 640009 | $922K | $830K | $980K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources