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Crawford, AR · ZIP 72956 · Census Tract 05033020208 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$179K
Downside (P10)
$160K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$204K
+14% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$257K
+43% by 2030
Base case: +14% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $143K | $126K | $145K | $146K | $175K | $179K | $188K | $196K | $204K |
| YoY Change | -12.0% | +15.3% | +0.6% | +20.1% | +2.3% | +4.9% | +4.3% | +4.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $154K | $159K | $160K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $214K | $230K | $257K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$154K to $214K
31.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$160K to $257K
47.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Van Buren | $179K | $204K | +13.9% | |
| Van Buren | $170K | $196K | +15.0% | |
| Lees Creek area | $182K | $208K | +14.0% | |
| Whitley area | $165K | $186K | +12.2% | |
| Locke area | $187K | $200K | +7.1% | |
| Rudy area | $174K | $186K | +7.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Van Buren | $179K | $204K | +13.9% | |
| Alma | $226K | $261K | +15.6% | |
| Kibler area | $237K | $273K | +15.2% | |
| Van Buren (Tract 020301) | $170K | $196K | +15.0% | |
| Van Buren (Tract 020501) | $128K | $146K | +14.1% | |
| Lees Creek area | $182K | $208K | +14.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Van Buren | $179K | $204K | $97K | |
| Whitley area | $165K | $186K | $100K | |
| Cedar Creek area | $162K | $177K | $100K | |
| Vine Prairie area | $206K | $220K | $87K | |
| Van Buren (Tract 020501) | $128K | $146K | $85K | |
| Van Buren (Tract 020502) | $124K | $134K | $66K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.