Crittenden, AR · ZIP 72348 · Census Tract 05035030601 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$124K
Downside (P10)
$106K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$142K
+15% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$183K
+48% by 2030
Base case: +15% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +48%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar Crittenden markets.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $59K | $61K | $83K | $121K | $124K | $124K | $129K | $140K | $142K |
| YoY Change | +3.2% | +34.6% | +46.1% | +2.6% | +0.1% | +4.3% | +8.3% | +1.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $107K | $109K | $112K | $106K | |||||
| Upside (P90) | $139K | $150K | $160K | $183K |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$115K to $133K
14.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$106K to $183K
53.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Memphis | $123K | $126K | +2.1% |
| Mississippi | $118K | $123K | +4.2% |
| Jasper | $118K | $117K | -0.6% |
| Near Proctor | $147K | $160K | +8.9% |
| West Memphis | $100K | $110K | +10.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Memphis | $193K | $223K | +15.6% |
| Wappanocca area | $249K | $279K | +12.0% |
| Mississippi | $205K | $229K | +11.6% |
| West Memphis | $100K | $110K | +10.4% |
| Jasper | $187K | $204K | +8.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Memphis | $65K | $69K | $34K |
| Black Oak area | $73K | $73K | $37K |
| West Memphis | $75K | $81K | $49K |
| West Memphis | $79K | $85K | $53K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources