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Garland, AR · ZIP 71933 · Census Tract 05051011101 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$174K
Downside (P10)
$152K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$183K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$238K
+37% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $162K | $162K | $174K | $176K | $173K | $174K | $182K | $184K | $183K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$11,833 | -$11,333 | -$33 | +$2,167 | -$233 | +$8,306 | +$10,586 | +$8,914 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -6.8% | -6.5% | -0.0% | +1.2% | -0.1% | +4.8% | +6.1% | +5.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $155K | $144K | $152K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $209K | $226K | $238K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$155K to $209K
30.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$152K to $238K
47.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hale | $171K | $183K | +7.0% | |
| Hot Springs (Tract 010700) | $157K | $168K | +7.1% | |
| Hot Springs (Tract 011701) | $169K | $178K | +5.1% | |
| Hot Springs (Tract 010800) | $158K | $166K | +4.6% | |
| Hot Springs Village | $189K | $196K | +3.8% | |
| Piney | $158K | $163K | +3.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hale | $171K | $183K | +7.0% | |
| Hot Springs (Tract 011400) | $115K | $129K | +12.7% | |
| Hot Springs (Tract 011801) | $211K | $234K | +10.7% | |
| Piney | $105K | $116K | +10.7% | |
| Hot Springs (Tract 010601) | $153K | $169K | +10.6% | |
| Hot Springs (Tract 011802) | $265K | $293K | +10.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hale | $171K | $183K | $86K | |
| Hot Springs (Tract 011500) | $116K | $120K | $67K | |
| Piney | $105K | $116K | $64K | |
| Hot Springs (Tract 010602) | $81K | $89K | $50K | |
| Hale | $68K | $72K | $44K | |
| Hot Springs (Tract 011702) | $96K | $104K | $35K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Garland, AR · ZIP 71933 · Census Tract 05051011101 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$174K
Downside (P10)
$152K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$183K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$238K
+37% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $162K | $162K | $174K | $176K | $173K | $174K | $182K | $184K | $183K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$11,833 | -$11,333 | -$33 | +$2,167 | -$233 | +$8,306 | +$10,586 | +$8,914 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -6.8% | -6.5% | -0.0% | +1.2% | -0.1% | +4.8% | +6.1% | +5.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $155K | $144K | $152K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $209K | $226K | $238K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$155K to $209K
30.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$152K to $238K
47.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hale | $171K | $183K | +7.0% | |
| Hot Springs (Tract 010700) | $157K | $168K | +7.1% | |
| Hot Springs (Tract 011701) | $169K | $178K | +5.1% | |
| Hot Springs (Tract 010800) | $158K | $166K | +4.6% | |
| Hot Springs Village | $189K | $196K | +3.8% | |
| Piney | $158K | $163K | +3.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hale | $171K | $183K | +7.0% | |
| Hot Springs (Tract 011400) | $115K | $129K | +12.7% | |
| Hot Springs (Tract 011801) | $211K | $234K | +10.7% | |
| Piney | $105K | $116K | +10.7% | |
| Hot Springs (Tract 010601) | $153K | $169K | +10.6% | |
| Hot Springs (Tract 011802) | $265K | $293K | +10.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hale | $171K | $183K | $86K | |
| Hot Springs (Tract 011500) | $116K | $120K | $67K | |
| Piney | $105K | $116K | $64K | |
| Hot Springs (Tract 010602) | $81K | $89K | $50K | |
| Hale | $68K | $72K | $44K | |
| Hot Springs (Tract 011702) | $96K | $104K | $35K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
