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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Jefferson, AR · ZIP 71601 · Census Tract 05069001000 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$47K
Downside (P10)
$39K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$49K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$66K
+42% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $56K | $55K | $54K | $67K | $59K | $71K | $71K | $43K | $42K | $46K | $47K | $48K | $50K | $49K |
| YoY Change | -1.6% | -1.8% | +23.5% | -10.9% | +19.0% | -0.3% | -38.9% | -3.0% | +9.3% | +2.3% | +2.8% | +3.1% | -1.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $39K | $38K | $39K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $54K | $59K | $66K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$39K to $54K
31.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$39K to $66K
56.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pine Bluff (Tract 001600) | $64K | $72K | +12.4% | |
| Pine Bluff (Tract 001300) | $71K | $75K | +6.5% | |
| Pine Bluff (Tract 001200) | $65K | $68K | +4.1% | |
| Melton area | $65K | $66K | +2.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pine Bluff (Tract 000303) | $126K | $147K | +16.3% | |
| Pine Bluff (Tract 001402) | $99K | $114K | +15.4% | |
| Pine Bluff (Tract 001600) | $64K | $72K | +12.4% | |
| Pine Bluff (Tract 001700) | $85K | $95K | +11.4% | |
| Pine Bluff (Tract 000900) | $82K | $91K | +11.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dunnington area | $74K | $81K | $43K | |
| Melton area | $65K | $66K | $39K | |
| Pine Bluff (Tract 001600) | $64K | $72K | $34K | |
| Pine Bluff (Tract 001300) | $71K | $75K | $33K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.