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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Jefferson, AR · ZIP 71603 · Census Tract 05069001502 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$100K
Downside (P10)
$84K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$109K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$140K
+40% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +40%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $89K | $88K | $85K | $88K | $81K | $84K | $80K | $94K | $88K | $96K | $100K | $104K | $107K | $109K |
| YoY Change | -0.6% | -3.5% | +3.7% | -7.6% | +3.4% | -5.4% | +17.6% | -6.2% | +9.1% | +4.4% | +3.9% | +2.9% | +1.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $90K | $90K | $84K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $122K | $129K | $140K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$90K to $122K
30.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$84K to $140K
51.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pine Bluff · 71603 · (Tract 15.2) | $99K | $109K | +9.7% | |
| Pine Bluff (Tract 001402) | $99K | $114K | +15.4% | |
| Pine Bluff (Tract 001501) | $86K | $96K | +10.8% | |
| Vaugine (Tract 000502) | $109K | $119K | +8.7% | |
| Vaugine (Tract 001903) | $86K | $93K | +8.5% | |
| Victoria area | $89K | $95K | +6.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pine Bluff · 71603 · (Tract 15.2) | $99K | $109K | +9.7% | |
| Pine Bluff (Tract 000303) | $126K | $147K | +16.3% | |
| Pine Bluff (Tract 001402) | $99K | $114K | +15.4% | |
| Pine Bluff (Tract 001600) | $64K | $72K | +12.4% | |
| Pine Bluff (Tract 001700) | $85K | $95K | +11.4% | |
| Pine Bluff (Tract 000900) | $82K | $91K | +11.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pine Bluff · 71603 · (Tract 15.2) | $99K | $109K | $56K | |
| Melton area | $65K | $66K | $39K | |
| Pine Bluff (Tract 001600) | $64K | $72K | $34K | |
| Pine Bluff (Tract 001300) | $71K | $75K | $33K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.