Ouachita, AR · ZIP 71726 · Census Tract 05103950200 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$114K
Downside (P10)
$94K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$122K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$153K
+34% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +34%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar Ouachita markets.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $71K | $69K | $76K | $86K | $113K | $115K | $104K | $110K | $117K | $112K | $114K | $115K | $119K | $122K |
| YoY Change | -2.4% | +9.8% | +13.4% | +30.7% | +2.0% | -9.8% | +5.8% | +6.3% | -3.8% | +1.8% | +1.0% | +3.1% | +2.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $94K | $94K | $94K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $143K | $143K | $153K |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight and remain tight through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$94K to $143K
42.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$94K to $153K
48.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Behestian area | $113K | $122K | +8.2% | |
| Lafayette area | $117K | $127K | +8.7% | |
| Ecore Fabre | $123K | $136K | +11.0% | |
| Freeo area | $104K | $113K | +9.1% | |
| Washington area | $86K | $95K | +11.0% | |
| Ecore Fabre | $82K | $89K | +8.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Behestian area | $113K | $122K | +8.2% | |
| Washington area | $86K | $95K | +11.0% | |
| Ecore Fabre | $123K | $136K | +11.0% | |
| Freeo area | $104K | $113K | +9.1% | |
| Lafayette area | $117K | $127K | +8.7% | |
| Ecore Fabre | $82K | $89K | +8.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Behestian area | $113K | $122K | $59K | |
| Ecore Fabre | $82K | $89K | $47K | |
| Marion area | $81K | $86K | $49K | |
| Washington area | $86K | $95K | $53K | |
| Freeo area | $104K | $113K | $74K | |
| Ecore Fabre | $123K | $136K | $76K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.