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Pope, AR · ZIP 72847 · Census Tract 05115950800 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$212K
Downside (P10)
$176K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$226K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$281K
+33% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +33%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $111K | $129K | $143K | $142K | $141K | $162K | $159K | $179K | $186K | $202K | $212K | $217K | $222K | $226K |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$101K | -$83K | -$69K | -$70K | -$71K | -$50K | -$53K | -$33K | -$26K | -$10K | +$5K | +$11K | +$14K | |
| Growth % vs 2026 | -47.6% | -39.2% | -32.4% | -33.2% | -33.6% | -23.7% | -25.0% | -15.4% | -12.2% | -4.8% | +2.5% | +5.0% | +6.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $183K | $182K | $176K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $256K | $269K | $281K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$183K to $256K
33.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$176K to $281K
46.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayliss area | $207K | $226K | +9.1% | |
| Galla | $187K | $219K | +17.2% | |
| Russellville (Tract 951503) | $238K | $271K | +13.9% | |
| Valley area | $203K | $228K | +12.5% | |
| Illinois | $250K | $279K | +11.7% | |
| Russellville (Tract 951504) | $182K | $199K | +9.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayliss area | $207K | $226K | +9.1% | |
| Galla | $187K | $219K | +17.2% | |
| Russellville (Tract 951601) | $154K | $178K | +15.3% | |
| Jackson area | $94K | $107K | +14.0% | |
| Russellville (Tract 951302) | $96K | $109K | +13.9% | |
| Russellville (Tract 951503) | $238K | $271K | +13.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayliss area | $207K | $226K | $105K | |
| Russellville (Tract 951601) | $154K | $178K | $85K | |
| Moreland area | $128K | $141K | $77K | |
| Russellville (Tract 951302) | $96K | $109K | $67K | |
| Jackson area | $94K | $107K | $61K | |
| Russellville (Tract 951301) | $132K | $142K | $61K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.