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Pulaski, AR · ZIP 72117 · Census Tract 05119002700 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$97K
Downside (P10)
$88K
-9% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$105K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$129K
+34% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -9% to +34%. The model forecasts this with 78% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $65K | $69K | $65K | $63K | $59K | $55K | $59K | $73K | $72K | $95K | $97K | $99K | $102K | $105K | $98K |
| YoY Change | +6.3% | -6.2% | -2.2% | -7.6% | -6.1% | +7.3% | +23.2% | -1.4% | +32.4% | +2.0% | +2.4% | +2.4% | +3.0% | -6.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $84K | $85K | $88K | $88K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $114K | $123K | $129K | $112K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$84K to $114K
30.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$88K to $112K
24.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hill · North Little Rock · (Tract 27) | $97K | $105K | +8.3% | |
| Big Rock (Tract 004007) | $97K | $110K | +13.7% | |
| North Little Rock | $98K | $105K | +7.0% | |
| Little Rock (Tract 002403) | $101K | $105K | +3.8% | |
| Little Rock (Tract 001900) | $93K | $96K | +2.9% | |
| Big Rock (Tract 004005) | $91K | $92K | +1.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hill · North Little Rock · (Tract 27) | $97K | $105K | +8.3% | |
| Hill (Tract 003605) | $180K | $215K | +19.3% | |
| Little Rock | $82K | $97K | +17.1% | |
| Hill (Tract 004307) | $257K | $299K | +16.7% | |
| Hill (Tract 003604) | $169K | $197K | +16.5% | |
| Hill (Tract 003405) | $194K | $224K | +15.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hill · North Little Rock · (Tract 27) | $97K | $105K | $41K | |
| North Little Rock | $89K | $98K | $51K | |
| Big Rock | $91K | $92K | $49K | |
| Little Rock (Tract 002403) | $101K | $105K | $45K | |
| Little Rock (Tract 004107) | $61K | $63K | $34K | |
| Little Rock (Tract 004108) | $71K | $75K | $32K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.