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Pulaski, AR · ZIP 72205 · Census Tract 05119002208 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$174K
Downside (P10)
$146K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$184K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$256K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $139K | $134K | $138K | $137K | $140K | $140K | $148K | $160K | $160K | $165K | $174K | $177K | $179K | $184K |
| YoY Change | -3.3% | +2.9% | -0.3% | +1.5% | +0.1% | +5.7% | +8.1% | +0.1% | +3.0% | +5.6% | +1.7% | +1.4% | +2.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $151K | $147K | $146K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $196K | $231K | $256K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$151K to $196K
25.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$146K to $256K
59.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Little Rock | $167K | $184K | +9.8% | |
| Hill (Tract 003605) | $180K | $215K | +19.3% | |
| Hill (Tract 003604) | $169K | $197K | +16.5% | |
| North Little Rock | $173K | $188K | +8.6% | |
| Hill (Tract 003406) | $173K | $182K | +5.0% | |
| Hill (Tract 003609) | $179K | $185K | +3.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Little Rock | $167K | $184K | +9.8% | |
| Hill (Tract 003605) | $180K | $215K | +19.3% | |
| Little Rock | $82K | $97K | +17.1% | |
| Hill (Tract 004307) | $257K | $299K | +16.7% | |
| Hill (Tract 003604) | $169K | $197K | +16.5% | |
| Hill (Tract 003405) | $194K | $224K | +15.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Little Rock | $167K | $184K | $109K | |
| Big Rock | $91K | $92K | $49K | |
| Little Rock (Tract 002403) | $101K | $105K | $45K | |
| Hill | $97K | $105K | $41K | |
| Little Rock (Tract 004107) | $61K | $63K | $34K | |
| Little Rock (Tract 004108) | $71K | $75K | $32K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.