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Pulaski, AR · ZIP 72046 · Census Tract 05119003900 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$191K
Downside (P10)
$158K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$205K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$283K
+48% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +48%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $166K | $164K | $170K | $168K | $158K | $152K | $152K | $177K | $172K | $187K | $191K | $195K | $201K | $205K |
| YoY Change | -1.4% | +3.5% | -0.9% | -6.2% | -4.0% | +0.5% | +16.5% | -3.1% | +9.0% | +2.0% | +2.2% | +2.6% | +2.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $170K | $169K | $158K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $227K | $254K | $283K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$170K to $227K
29.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$158K to $283K
61.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hill area | $191K | $205K | +7.5% | |
| Hill (Tract 003405) | $194K | $224K | +15.8% | |
| Hill (Tract 004310) | $199K | $226K | +13.6% | |
| Little Rock | $191K | $213K | +11.5% | |
| Hill (Tract 003403) | $194K | $214K | +10.3% | |
| Hill (Tract 003404) | $195K | $208K | +6.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hill area | $191K | $205K | +7.5% | |
| Hill (Tract 003605) | $180K | $215K | +19.3% | |
| Little Rock | $82K | $97K | +17.1% | |
| Hill (Tract 004307) | $257K | $299K | +16.7% | |
| Hill (Tract 003604) | $169K | $197K | +16.5% | |
| Hill (Tract 003405) | $194K | $224K | +15.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hill area | $191K | $205K | $125K | |
| Big Rock | $91K | $92K | $49K | |
| Little Rock (Tract 002403) | $101K | $105K | $45K | |
| Hill | $97K | $105K | $41K | |
| Little Rock (Tract 004107) | $61K | $63K | $34K | |
| Little Rock (Tract 004108) | $71K | $75K | $32K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.