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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Coconino, AZ · ZIP 86045 · Census Tract 04005944900 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$91K
Downside (P10)
$76K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$98K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$114K
+26% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +26%. The model forecasts this with 79% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $85K | $71K | $56K | $55K | $72K | $56K | $100K | $109K | $102K | $88K | $91K | $94K | $97K | $98K |
| YoY Change | -16.8% | -21.4% | -0.9% | +29.7% | -22.2% | +79.6% | +8.9% | -6.7% | -13.9% | +3.6% | +3.2% | +3.0% | +1.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $80K | $80K | $76K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $106K | $108K | $114K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$80K to $106K
28.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$76K to $114K
38.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tuba City | $89K | $98K | +10.4% | |
| Tuba City (Tract 942202) | $57K | $66K | +16.2% | |
| Tuba City (Tract 945100) | $62K | $70K | +12.3% | |
| Tuba City (Tract 945000) | $53K | $58K | +9.3% | |
| Tuba City (Tract 945200) | $58K | $63K | +7.6% | |
| Tuba City (Tract 942201) | $81K | $86K | +6.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tuba City | $89K | $98K | +10.4% | |
| Flagstaff (Tract 001101) | $614K | $744K | +21.0% | |
| Flagstaff (Tract 000302) | $394K | $458K | +16.2% | |
| Tuba City | $57K | $66K | +16.2% | |
| Flagstaff (Tract 000601) | $692K | $800K | +15.7% | |
| Flagstaff (Tract 000901) | $681K | $781K | +14.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tuba City | $89K | $98K | $38K | |
| Tuba City (Tract 945200) | $58K | $63K | $47K | |
| Tuba City (Tract 942201) | $81K | $86K | $42K | |
| Tuba City (Tract 942202) | $57K | $66K | $39K | |
| Tuba City (Tract 945000) | $53K | $58K | $36K | |
| Tuba City (Tract 945100) | $62K | $70K | $30K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.