Loading forecast data...
Ready to see your forecast?
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Loading forecast data...
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
County 04483, AZ · Census Tract 04483C00600 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$180K
Downside (P10)
$158K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$269K
+50% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$408K
+127% by 2030
Base case: +50% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +127%. The model forecasts this with 49% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $180K | $211K | $244K | $269K | $269K |
| YoY Change | +17.2% | +15.8% | +10.3% | -0.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $169K | $172K | $167K | $158K | |
| Upside (P90) | $263K | $332K | $380K | $408K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$169K to $263K
44.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$158K to $408K
93.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract C00600 | $180K | $269K | +49.5% | |
| Tract A00700 | $183K | $293K | +60.1% | |
| Tract A00500 | $178K | $266K | +49.3% | |
| Tract C00300 | $182K | $270K | +48.4% | |
| Tract A00100 | $183K | $269K | +47.4% | |
| Tract B00700 | $183K | $259K | +41.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract C00600 | $180K | $269K | +49.5% | |
| Tract D00200 | $107K | $174K | +62.9% | |
| Tract A00700 | $183K | $293K | +60.1% | |
| Tract D00400 | $85K | $136K | +59.2% | |
| Tract B00800 | $183K | $291K | +59.1% | |
| Tract A00800 | $183K | $290K | +58.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract C00600 | $180K | $269K | $250K | |
| Tract A00500 | $178K | $266K | $227K | |
| Tract A00100 | $183K | $269K | $225K | |
| Tract D00200 | $107K | $174K | $179K | |
| Tract D00400 | $85K | $136K | $133K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources