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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Pinal, AZ · ZIP 85120 · Census Tract 04021000317 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$83K
Downside (P10)
$70K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$88K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$138K
+65% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +65%. The model forecasts this with 58% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $45K | $47K | $44K | $45K | $51K | $57K | $59K | $67K | $78K | $83K | $83K | $85K | $88K | $88K |
| YoY Change | +4.5% | -5.6% | +2.7% | +13.7% | +10.7% | +3.5% | +13.4% | +16.9% | +6.2% | +0.7% | +2.4% | +3.0% | +0.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $73K | $72K | $70K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $119K | $127K | $138K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. This typically reflects limited transaction history, high price variance, or rapid neighborhood change.
1-Year Spread
$73K to $119K
53.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$70K to $138K
76.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Pinal | $84K | $88K | +5.6% | |
| San Manuel (Tract 000700) | $122K | $138K | +13.1% | |
| Apache Junction (Tract 000309) | $129K | $145K | +12.3% | |
| San Manuel (Tract 002400) | $118K | $128K | +8.7% | |
| Apache Junction (Tract 000321) | $123K | $128K | +3.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Pinal | $84K | $88K | +5.6% | |
| North Pinal | $600K | $697K | +16.2% | |
| Maricopa (Tract 001714) | $362K | $420K | +16.0% | |
| Maricopa (Tract 001716) | $389K | $447K | +14.9% | |
| San Tan Valley | $458K | $525K | +14.7% | |
| Florence | $169K | $194K | +14.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Pinal | $84K | $88K | $68K | |
| Coolidge | $152K | $167K | $72K | |
| Eloy (Tract 001900) | $150K | $161K | $65K | |
| Eloy (Tract 002004) | $140K | $154K | $63K | |
| North Pinal | $134K | $150K | $62K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.