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Phoenix, AZ · ZIP 85257 · Census Tract 04013218200 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$563K
Downside (P10)
$484K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$666K
+18% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$926K
+64% by 2030
Base case: +18% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +64%. The model forecasts this with 64% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $178K | $200K | $217K | $231K | $242K | $258K | $299K | $368K | $488K | $533K | $563K | $600K | $621K | $666K | $559K |
| YoY Change | +12.5% | +8.3% | +6.5% | +4.8% | +6.7% | +15.7% | +23.2% | +32.5% | +9.4% | +5.6% | +6.5% | +3.5% | +7.3% | -16.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $481K | $480K | $484K | $497K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $696K | $817K | $926K | $623K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$481K to $696K
35.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$497K to $623K
22.5% of median
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources