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Phoenix, AZ · ZIP 85035 · Census Tract 04013112520 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$312K
Downside (P10)
$242K
-23% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$323K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$489K
+57% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -23% to +57%. The model forecasts this with 58% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $186K | $174K | $222K | $272K | $311K | $312K | $313K | $318K | $323K |
| YoY Change | -6.2% | +27.6% | +22.5% | +14.2% | +0.4% | +0.2% | +1.9% | +1.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $243K | $247K | $242K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $412K | $442K | $489K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. This typically reflects limited transaction history, high price variance, or rapid neighborhood change.
1-Year Spread
$243K to $412K
54.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$242K to $489K
76.4% of median
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources