What is the home price forecast for Parcel 04021000216 in San Tan Valley · 85140 · (Tract 2.16)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $441,160 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 9.3%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 04021000216 in San Tan Valley · 85140 · (Tract 2.16)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $441,160 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 9.3%.

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Parcel 04021000216 (San Tan Valley) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 04021000216, San Tan Valley · 85140 · (Tract 2.16) Home Price Forecast

Pinal, AZ · ZIP 85140 · Census Tract 04021000216 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$441K

Downside (P10)

$379K

-14% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$482K

+9% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$611K

+38% by 2030

Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$216K	$233K	$322K	$372K	$423K	$441K	$453K	$478K	$482K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$225,260	-$208,460	-$119,560	-$69,460	-$18,360		+$12,089	+$36,480	+$41,176
Growth % vs 2026	-51.1%	-47.3%	-27.1%	-15.7%	-4.2%		+2.7%	+8.3%	+9.3%
Downside (P10)							$393K	$399K	$379K
Upside (P90)							$539K	$572K	$611K

Forecast Confidence

74%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$393K to $539K

32.3% of median

Long-horizon band

$379K to $611K

48.0% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +9.3% · Spread: 48%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 04021000216, San Tan Valley · 85140 · (Tract 2.16) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).