What is the home price forecast for Parcel 04021000222 in San Tan Valley · Queen Creek · (Tract 2.22)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $417,214 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 6.8%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 04021000222 in San Tan Valley · Queen Creek · (Tract 2.22)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $417,214 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 6.8%.

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Parcel 04021000222 (San Tan Valley) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 04021000222, San Tan Valley · Queen Creek · (Tract 2.22) Home Price Forecast

Pinal, AZ · ZIP 85142 · Census Tract 04021000222 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$417K

Downside (P10)

$357K

-14% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$446K

+7% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$559K

+34% by 2030

Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +34%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$226K	$265K	$299K	$382K	$411K	$417K	$426K	$431K	$446K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$191,014	-$152,714	-$118,214	-$35,214	-$6,014		+$9,029	+$13,950	+$28,524
Growth % vs 2026	-45.8%	-36.6%	-28.3%	-8.4%	-1.4%		+2.2%	+3.3%	+6.8%
Downside (P10)							$363K	$359K	$357K
Upside (P90)							$485K	$531K	$559K

Forecast Confidence

75%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$363K to $485K

28.6% of median

Long-horizon band

$357K to $559K

45.2% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +6.8% · Spread: 45%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 04021000222, San Tan Valley · Queen Creek · (Tract 2.22) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).