County 06203, CA · Census Tract 06203C02200 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$140K
Downside (P10)
$135K
-3% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$213K
+52% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$352K
+151% by 2030
Base case: +52% by 2030, with a forecast range from -3% to +151%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 06203 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $140K | $168K | $189K | $206K | $213K |
| YoY Change | +19.9% | +12.7% | +8.5% | +3.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $134K | $133K | $132K | $135K | |
| Upside (P90) | $217K | $264K | $309K | $352K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$123K to $163K
28.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$135K to $352K
101.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract A01900 | $191K | $279K | +46.3% |
| Tract 000703 | $192K | $285K | +48.4% |
| Tract C03800 | $88K | $129K | +47.4% |
| Tract 001103 | $194K | $287K | +48.2% |
| Tract 000701 | $217K | $293K | +34.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract A01100 | $236K | $393K | +66.7% |
| Tract B02400 | $234K | $376K | +60.9% |
| Tract B00601 | $333K | $516K | +55.0% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources