County 06230, CA · Census Tract 06230G01300 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$46K
Downside (P10)
$37K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$73K
+59% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$127K
+176% by 2030
Base case: +59% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +176%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 06230 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $46K | $58K | $62K | $70K | $73K |
| YoY Change | +25.1% | +8.2% | +12.6% | +4.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $44K | $42K | $39K | $37K | |
| Upside (P90) | $84K | $106K | $117K | $127K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$39K to $59K
42.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$37K to $127K
122.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract G02200 | $76K | $122K | +59.8% |
| Tract E00300 | $79K | $116K | +46.7% |
| Tract 00010A | $90K | $150K | +66.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 00010A | $90K | $150K | +66.5% |
| Tract G02200 | $76K | $122K | +59.8% |
| Tract G02800 | $236K | $375K | +58.8% |
| Tract D20700 | $268K | $420K | +56.5% |
| Tract B01100 | $253K | $393K | +55.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract E00300 | $79K | $116K | $132K |
| Tract G02200 | $76K | $122K | $135K |
| Tract 00010A | $90K | $150K | $149K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources