County 06432, CA · Census Tract 06432000148 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$965K
Downside (P10)
$926K
-4% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.21M
+25% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.71M
+78% by 2030
Base case: +25% by 2030, with a forecast range from -4% to +78%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 06432 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $965K | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.2M |
| YoY Change | +13.5% | +1.2% | -1.0% | +9.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $928K | $886K | $836K | $926K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.4M | $1.5M | $1.5M | $1.7M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$874K to $1.15M
28.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$926K to $1.71M
65.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001765 | $965K | $1.27M | +32.0% |
| Tract 002049 | $966K | $1.20M | +23.9% |
| Tract 001901 | $982K | $1.25M | +27.0% |
| Tract 002023 | $983K | $1.24M | +26.4% |
| Tract 001422 | $983K | $1.22M | +24.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000669 | $859K | $1.20M | +39.5% |
| Tract 001121 | $847K | $1.17M | +38.6% |
| Tract 001367 | $860K | $1.19M | +38.5% |
| Tract 001600 | $817K | $1.11M | +36.1% |
| Tract 000407 | $872K | $1.18M | +35.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002049 | $966K | $1.20M | $702K |
| Tract 001422 | $983K | $1.22M | $705K |
| Tract 000944 | $851K | $1.15M | $748K |
| Tract 001024 | $1.13M | $1.29M | $771K |
| Tract 001600 | $817K | $1.11M | $774K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources