What is the home price forecast for Parcel 06023001001 in Arcata · 95521 · (Tract 10.1)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $483,706 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 11.9%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 06023001001 in Arcata · 95521 · (Tract 10.1)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $483,706 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 11.9%.

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Parcel 06023001001 (Arcata) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 06023001001, Arcata · 95521 · (Tract 10.1) Home Price Forecast

Humboldt, CA · ZIP 95521 · Census Tract 06023001001 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$484K

Downside (P10)

$421K

-13% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$541K

+12% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$709K

+47% by 2030

Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$382K	$361K	$422K	$442K	$470K	$484K	$495K	$523K	$541K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$102,006	-$122,306	-$61,506	-$41,806	-$13,906		+$10,920	+$38,966	+$57,432
Growth % vs 2026	-21.1%	-25.3%	-12.7%	-8.6%	-2.9%		+2.3%	+8.1%	+11.9%
Downside (P10)							$435K	$428K	$421K
Upside (P90)							$614K	$658K	$709K

Forecast Confidence

71%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$435K to $614K

36.0% of median

Long-horizon band

$421K to $709K

53.2% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +11.9% · Spread: 53%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 06023001001, Arcata · 95521 · (Tract 10.1) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).