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Los Angeles, CA · ZIP 90403 · Census Tract 06037701501 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.30M
Downside (P10)
$1.06M
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.35M
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.15M
+66% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +66%. The model forecasts this with 55% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $733K | $783K | $823K | $922K | $946K | $1.0M | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.3M | $1.3M | $1.3M | $1.3M |
| YoY Change | +6.8% | +5.1% | +12.1% | +2.7% | +10.2% | +8.3% | +8.2% | +0.6% | +0.4% | +5.0% | +4.2% | -1.3% | +1.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.1M | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.7M | $2.0M | $2.2M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$1.07M to $1.74M
49.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.06M to $2.15M
81.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Monica | $1.26M | $1.35M | +6.8% | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 275603) | $1.30M | $1.40M | +8.1% | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 271703) | $1.30M | $1.44M | +11.0% | |
| Santa Clarita | $1.29M | $1.41M | +9.3% | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 197410) | $1.29M | $1.29M | +0.1% | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 221303) | $1.29M | $1.47M | +13.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Monica | $1.26M | $1.35M | +6.8% | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 209201) | $1.05M | $1.34M | +27.1% | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 267700) | $1.09M | $1.38M | +26.3% | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 125200) | $1.18M | $1.48M | +25.5% | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 267201) | $968K | $1.19M | +22.8% | |
| Long Beach | $728K | $893K | +22.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Monica | $1.26M | $1.35M | $1.09M | |
| Bell | $69K | $72K | $39K | |
| Lancaster (Tract 900610) | $86K | $96K | $46K | |
| Long Beach | $105K | $112K | $61K | |
| Lancaster (Tract 900602) | $118K | $137K | $70K | |
| Lancaster (Tract 900509) | $178K | $195K | $92K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.