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Los Angeles, CA · ZIP 90290 · Census Tract 06037800104 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.74M
Downside (P10)
$1.13M
-35% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.84M
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.65M
+53% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -35% to +53%. The model forecasts this with 55% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.2M | $1.4M | $1.7M | $1.7M | $1.7M | $1.7M | $1.7M | $1.8M | $1.8M |
| YoY Change | +20.3% | +20.6% | -0.3% | -0.8% | +1.9% | +0.3% | +2.4% | +3.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.4M | $1.2M | $1.1M | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $2.2M | $2.3M | $2.7M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$1.37M to $2.20M
47.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.13M to $2.65M
82.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agoura Hills-Malibu | $1.69M | $1.84M | +8.7% | |
| Glendale | $1.74M | $1.98M | +13.9% | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 141400) | $1.74M | $1.91M | +9.7% | |
| Arcadia | $1.74M | $1.90M | +8.8% | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 274100) | $1.73M | $1.87M | +7.8% | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 272100) | $1.74M | $1.87M | +7.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agoura Hills-Malibu | $1.69M | $1.84M | +8.7% | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 209201) | $1.05M | $1.34M | +27.1% | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 267700) | $1.09M | $1.38M | +26.3% | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 125200) | $1.18M | $1.48M | +25.5% | |
| Los Angeles (Tract 267201) | $968K | $1.19M | +22.8% | |
| Long Beach | $728K | $893K | +22.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agoura Hills-Malibu | $1.69M | $1.84M | $1.52M | |
| Lancaster (Tract 900509) | $178K | $195K | $92K | |
| Lancaster (Tract 900602) | $118K | $137K | $70K | |
| Long Beach | $105K | $112K | $61K | |
| Lancaster (Tract 900610) | $86K | $96K | $46K | |
| Bell | $69K | $72K | $39K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.