What is the home price forecast for Parcel 06039000902 in Madera · 93638 · (Tract 9.2)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $401,176 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 10.7%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 06039000902 in Madera · 93638 · (Tract 9.2)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $401,176 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 10.7%.

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Parcel 06039000902 (Madera) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 06039000902, Madera · 93638 · (Tract 9.2) Home Price Forecast

Madera, CA · ZIP 93638 · Census Tract 06039000902 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$401K

Downside (P10)

$344K

-14% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$444K

+11% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$617K

+54% by 2030

Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +54%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$258K	$257K	$318K	$363K	$382K	$401K	$414K	$436K	$444K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$142,776	-$143,776	-$82,876	-$38,476	-$19,276		+$13,187	+$34,981	+$43,106
Growth % vs 2026	-35.6%	-35.8%	-20.7%	-9.6%	-4.8%		+3.3%	+8.7%	+10.7%
Downside (P10)							$345K	$338K	$344K
Upside (P90)							$474K	$540K	$617K

Forecast Confidence

66%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$345K to $474K

31.1% of median

Long-horizon band

$344K to $617K

61.4% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +10.7% · Spread: 61%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.

Location

Parcel 06039000902, Madera · 93638 · (Tract 9.2) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).