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Riverside, CA · ZIP 92592 · Census Tract 06065043293 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.05M
Downside (P10)
$648K
-38% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.10M
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.49M
+42% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -38% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 58% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $867K | $992K | $877K | $943K | $1.0M | $1.0M | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.1M |
| YoY Change | +14.4% | -11.7% | +7.6% | +6.3% | +4.6% | +0.7% | +2.6% | +1.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $848K | $736K | $648K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.3M | $1.4M | $1.5M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$848K to $1.29M
42.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$648K to $1.49M
76.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Murrieta | $1.02M | $1.10M | +7.8% | |
| Riverside | $1.05M | $1.15M | +9.4% | |
| Indian Wells | $1.06M | $1.15M | +9.2% | |
| Palm Springs | $1.07M | $1.15M | +7.5% | |
| Murrieta | $1.02M | $1.08M | +6.2% | |
| Cathedral City-Palm Desert | $1.08M | $1.06M | -1.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Murrieta | $1.02M | $1.10M | +7.8% | |
| Moreno Valley | $364K | $452K | +24.0% | |
| Riverside (Tract 050901) | $671K | $823K | +22.6% | |
| Blythe | $250K | $304K | +21.9% | |
| Riverside (Tract 040901) | $592K | $721K | +21.7% | |
| Jurupa Valley | $504K | $609K | +20.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Murrieta | $1.02M | $1.10M | $841K | |
| Hemet | $62K | $75K | $48K | |
| Desert Edge | $66K | $75K | $45K | |
| Coachella Valley (Tract 045618) | $52K | $57K | $39K | |
| Coachella Valley (Tract 045619) | $67K | $75K | $38K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.