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Riverside, CA · ZIP 92551 · Census Tract 06065048901 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$470K
Downside (P10)
$422K
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$516K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$681K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $173K | $195K | $219K | $250K | $272K | $306K | $320K | $366K | $418K | $450K | $470K | $482K | $512K | $516K |
| YoY Change | +13.2% | +12.0% | +14.2% | +8.8% | +12.4% | +4.8% | +14.4% | +14.1% | +7.7% | +4.4% | +2.6% | +6.2% | +0.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $422K | $422K | $422K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $545K | $601K | $681K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$422K to $545K
25.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$422K to $681K
50.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moreno Valley | $463K | $516K | +11.5% | |
| Moreno Valley (Tract 042521) | $470K | $541K | +15.0% | |
| Moreno Valley (Tract 042520) | $470K | $525K | +11.8% | |
| Perris | $469K | $524K | +11.7% | |
| Moreno Valley (Tract 042516) | $469K | $490K | +4.5% | |
| Riverside | $471K | $519K | +10.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moreno Valley | $463K | $516K | +11.5% | |
| Moreno Valley | $364K | $452K | +24.0% | |
| Riverside (Tract 050901) | $671K | $823K | +22.6% | |
| Blythe | $250K | $304K | +21.9% | |
| Riverside (Tract 040901) | $592K | $721K | +21.7% | |
| Jurupa Valley | $504K | $609K | +20.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moreno Valley | $463K | $516K | $260K | |
| Coachella Valley (Tract 045619) | $67K | $75K | $38K | |
| Coachella Valley (Tract 045618) | $52K | $57K | $39K | |
| Desert Edge | $66K | $75K | $45K | |
| Hemet | $62K | $75K | $48K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.